It’s always good to hear experts commenting on business cycles, economy, markets and commodities. Most unfortunately tend to be wedded to their ideas.
If a known talking head changes his or her viewpoint, it especially pays to listen to their arguments. A cheerful Nouriel Roubini talking about 1500 on the S&P 500 would jolly well crush the shorts (naked or otherwise). In a similar vein, Jim Rogers talking up $60 a barrel oil would probably have oil executives jumping off rooftops, not to mention becoming a brand new target for the Middle East hit men.
Anyways, Michael Kahn, Barron's excellent technical analyst, and a skeptical bear, had written earlier about finding no bottom in the financial sector. A week later, he’s changed his opinion, thanks in part to this excellent chart.
That sure looked like a capitulation bottom. While he is still talking of a long healing period, and a possible retest of the lows, at least one bear seems to have retracted his earlier opinion.
Yup. You heard that right. The bottom for financials is in.
Thursday, July 24, 2008
Did the financials make a bottom?
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